http://kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-26 17:10:05 來源:中國自動化學會專家谘詢工作委員會
一yi個ge國guo家jia的de現xian代dai化hua進jin程cheng本ben身shen就jiu是shi一yi個ge不bu斷duan產chan生sheng大da量liang不bu穩wen定ding因yin素su的de過guo程cheng。舊jiu的de矛mao盾dun沒mei有you得de到dao解jie決jue,新xin的de影ying響xiang社she會hui穩wen定ding的de因yin素su日ri益yi增zeng加jia。近jin年nian來lai,各ge種zhong社she會hui矛mao盾dun交jiao織zhi,社she會hui衝chong突tu激ji化hua,群qun體ti性xing、突發性事件明顯增多,群體事件中更出現多起無直接衝突事件。從農村失地農民、城市拆遷戶的抗議,到各地出租車司機的罷運,再到教師罷課、工人停工,社會衝突在強度和廣度上大有擴散的趨勢。2008年社會衝突事件數量明顯上升,2009年,這一勢頭似未得到有效遏製。
經(jing)濟(ji)危(wei)機(ji)更(geng)為(wei)現(xian)實(shi)百(bai)上(shang)加(jia)斤(jin)。根(gen)據(ju)社(she)會(hui)心(xin)理(li)學(xue)的(de)理(li)論(lun),在(zai)情(qing)況(kuang)發(fa)生(sheng)改(gai)善(shan)一(yi)段(duan)時(shi)間(jian)之(zhi)後(hou)出(chu)現(xian)突(tu)然(ran)的(de)經(jing)濟(ji)倒(dao)退(tui),會(hui)引(yin)起(qi)人(ren)們(men)最(zui)大(da)的(de)不(bu)滿(man),因(yin)為(wei)人(ren)們(men)的(de)預(yu)期(qi)提(ti)高(gao)而(er)實(shi)際(ji)經(jing)濟(ji)卻(que)已(yi)衰(shuai)退(tui),心(xin)理(li)落(luo)差(cha)巨(ju)大(da)。經(jing)過(guo)了(le)多(duo)年(nian)令(ling)世(shi)界(jie)矚(zhu)目(mu)的(de)經(jing)濟(ji)高(gao)增(zeng)長(chang)的(de)中(zhong)國(guo)社(she)會(hui),在(zai)經(jing)濟(ji)危(wei)機(ji)麵(mian)前(qian),將(jiang)因(yin)經(jing)濟(ji)停(ting)滯(zhi)甚(shen)至(zhi)倒(dao)退(tui)而(er)麵(mian)臨(lin)更(geng)大(da)的(de)政(zheng)治(zhi)社(she)會(hui)風(feng)險(xian)。一(yi)些(xie)海(hai)外(wai)媒(mei)體(ti)甚(shen)至(zhi)認(ren)為(wei)中(zhong)國(guo)2009年將發生大的社會動蕩,一些敏感的時間點被認為有可能成為社會動蕩的導火索。
中國的執政者也把2009年視為社會穩定的敏感時期。中央綜治委副主任、中央政法委副秘書長、中央綜治辦主任陳冀平認為:2009年將是各類社會矛盾碰頭疊加的一年。
處於轉型期的中國社會,在經過30年的改革之後,已經進入社會衝突多發期,這是一個不容置疑的現實。穩定一直是中國政治的重中之重,執政者奉行“穩定壓倒一切”。在(zai)如(ru)此(ci)嚴(yan)峻(jun)的(de)內(nei)外(wai)環(huan)境(jing)麵(mian)前(qian),保(bao)穩(wen)定(ding)成(cheng)為(wei)今(jin)年(nian)的(de)主(zhu)旋(xuan)律(lv)皆(jie)在(zai)意(yi)料(liao)之(zhi)中(zhong)。但(dan)是(shi),隨(sui)著(zhe)社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)的(de)多(duo)發(fa)和(he)各(ge)部(bu)門(men)維(wei)穩(wen)力(li)度(du)的(de)加(jia)強(qiang),隨(sui)之(zhi)而(er)來(lai)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)是(shi):該如何看待現在的社會衝突?加強控製力是不是必然能減少衝突?什麼是一個社會真正的穩定?
學(xue)界(jie)的(de)共(gong)識(shi)是(shi),社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)並(bing)不(bu)必(bi)然(ran)導(dao)致(zhi)社(she)會(hui)不(bu)穩(wen)定(ding)。而(er)在(zai)一(yi)個(ge)日(ri)益(yi)開(kai)放(fang)的(de)國(guo)家(jia),想(xiang)得(de)到(dao)真(zhen)正(zheng)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding),依(yi)靠(kao)計(ji)劃(hua)經(jing)濟(ji)時(shi)期(qi)的(de)手(shou)段(duan)顯(xian)然(ran)是(shi)遠(yuan)遠(yuan)不(bu)夠(gou)的(de)。維(wei)穩(wen),必(bi)須(xu)要(yao)有(you)新(xin)思(si)維(wei)。
從強力控製和動態平衡
國慶、奧運會、“兩會”dengsuoyouzhongdarichengqijian,difangguanyuandougaodujinzhang,yinweiyidanzijiguanxiadediquchuxianjinjingshangfangrenyuan,tamentoushangdewushabianyoukenengbubao。difangzhengfumenqianchuxianshiweijingzuo,yeshizhengjikaohedeyigewudian。quntichongtu、停工、bayundengshijiandouhuirangdifangguanyuandanchanxinjing,yinweiwendingshizuidadezhengzhi,erzhexiedoubeirenweishibuwendingdebiaoxian。nulibazhexiesuoweidebuwendingshijianxiaomiezaimengyazhuangtai,shidifangguanyuandeyixiangzhongyaogongzuo。changjiuyilai,zhongguozaiwendingwentishangdoucunzaizhefanhuahekuodahuaqushi,youzhewangude“寧緊勿鬆”的思維定勢。
改革開放30年之後,眾所周知,中國已經進入一個利益博弈的時代。在體製變革、shehuizhuanxingdeshiqi,shehuizhongdeliyiguanxiheliyigejuchuyufeijunhengzhuangtai,liyizhutiriyiduoyuanhua,tamentongguoboyijinxingliyitiaozheng。congzhegeyiyishangshuo,xuduoquntixingshijian,bingbushizhengzhishijianhuozhexingshishijian,wangwangzhishiliyibiaodaheboyidexingshizhiyi,shiliyisuqiudebudaoyouxiaohuiyingdewunaizhiju。bingbushizhenduizhengquandezhengzhixinghuodong,buhuiconggenbenshangduizhengfutongzhizaochengchongji。bingfeisuoyoudeshehuichongtudoujuyouzhengzhixing,tebieshizaidangjinshehui,zhenzhengdezhengzhixingchongtushaozhiyoushao。yinci,bushaoxuezherenwei,suiranshehuimaodunheshehuichongtupinfa,danfashengdaguimoshehuidongdangdekenengxingbingbuda。
穩wen定ding,是shi一yi種zhong全quan局ju意yi義yi上shang的de概gai念nian,更geng多duo的de是shi指zhi基ji本ben的de秩zhi序xu和he製zhi度du框kuang架jia意yi義yi上shang的de穩wen定ding,而er不bu應ying將jiang社she會hui生sheng活huo中zhong任ren何he矛mao盾dun都dou視shi之zhi為wei穩wen定ding問wen題ti。社she會hui學xue家jia孫sun立li平ping認ren為wei,本ben來lai隻zhi是shi一yi個ge正zheng當dang的de利li益yi的de表biao達da,政zheng府fu反fan應ying卻que過guo大da是shi一yi種zhong普pu遍bian的de現xian象xiang。社she會hui矛mao盾dun和he衝chong突tu將jiang會hui是shi未wei來lai社she會hui的de家jia常chang便bian飯fan,是shi常chang規gui化hua社she會hui生sheng活huo的de一yi部bu分fen。
無論政治怎樣變化,很多社會衝突都是不可避免的,這也是常態社會的一個標誌。社會矛盾、社會衝突、利益衝突是社會常規化組成部分。衡量一種製度、yigeshehuihaohuaidebiaozhun,bingbushiyoumeiyouchongtu,meiyoumaodunhechongtudeshehuishibucunzaide,shehuichongtubingbukepa,kepadeshiquefayouxiaoxietiaohejiejueshehuichongtudejizhi。zhezhongsiweishihenduoguanyuanqianquede。
bujiuqianguqudemeiguoxuezhehengtingdunrenwei,fadaguojiayubufadaguojiazaizhengzhishangzuidadequbiebuzaiyuzhengfuxingshi,shenzhiyebuzaiyuzhengzhicanyudechengdu,erzaiyushifoudadaolezugoudezhiduhuashuiping,jianlileyouxiaodeshehuikongzhi。erzaizhongguoshehui,shehuikongzhiyehenyouxiao,danzhezhongyouxiaozhuyaolaiziyurenzhi,erbushikaozhidu。zhefanerrongyidaozhigongpingdesangshihebuwendingxing。
在(zai)政(zheng)治(zhi)學(xue)者(zhe)看(kan)來(lai),政(zheng)治(zhi)穩(wen)定(ding)可(ke)以(yi)劃(hua)分(fen)為(wei)強(qiang)力(li)控(kong)製(zhi)型(xing)和(he)動(dong)態(tai)平(ping)衡(heng)型(xing)兩(liang)種(zhong)形(xing)態(tai)。強(qiang)力(li)控(kong)製(zhi)型(xing)下(xia)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding)可(ke)能(neng)會(hui)比(bi)動(dong)態(tai)平(ping)衡(heng)型(xing)穩(wen)定(ding)少(shao)發(fa)生(sheng)社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu),但(dan)是(shi),任(ren)何(he)強(qiang)力(li)控(kong)製(zhi)型(xing)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding)都(dou)有(you)其(qi)邊(bian)界(jie)和(he)臨(lin)界(jie)點(dian),一(yi)旦(dan)越(yue)過(guo),社(she)會(hui)將(jiang)陷(xian)入(ru)動(dong)蕩(dang)。在(zai)計(ji)劃(hua)經(jing)濟(ji)時(shi)代(dai),中(zhong)國(guo)是(shi)靠(kao)和(he)計(ji)劃(hua)經(jing)濟(ji)相(xiang)適(shi)應(ying)的(de)強(qiang)力(li)控(kong)製(zhi)來(lai)保(bao)持(chi)穩(wen)定(ding)。而(er)當(dang)中(zhong)國(guo)日(ri)益(yi)開(kai)放(fang)和(he)民(min)主(zhu)化(hua),政(zheng)治(zhi)穩(wen)定(ding)也(ye)必(bi)將(jiang)過(guo)渡(du)到(dao)動(dong)態(tai)平(ping)衡(heng)型(xing)。相(xiang)應(ying)地(di),執(zhi)政(zheng)者(zhe)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding)思(si)維(wei)也(ye)應(ying)隨(sui)之(zhi)轉(zhuan)變(bian)。在(zai)社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)敏(min)感(gan)期(qi),不(bu)僅(jin)需(xu)要(yao)執(zhi)政(zheng)智(zhi)慧(hui),更(geng)需(xu)要(yao)和(he)社(she)會(hui)發(fa)展(zhan)階(jie)段(duan)相(xiang)吻(wen)合(he)的(de)新(xin)的(de)穩(wen)定(ding)思(si)維(wei)。
從(cong)世(shi)界(jie)範(fan)圍(wei)來(lai)看(kan),各(ge)個(ge)國(guo)家(jia),無(wu)論(lun)何(he)種(zhong)政(zheng)治(zhi)體(ti)製(zhi),在(zai)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)過(guo)程(cheng)中(zhong)都(dou)經(jing)曆(li)過(guo)不(bu)同(tong)階(jie)段(duan)的(de)社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)和(he)抗(kang)議(yi)運(yun)動(dong),上(shang)世(shi)紀(ji)五(wu)六(liu)十(shi)年(nian)代(dai),歐(ou)美(mei)的(de)社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)和(he)遊(you)行(xing)示(shi)威(wei)等(deng)活(huo)動(dong)非(fei)常(chang)多(duo)。如(ru)果(guo)政(zheng)治(zhi)體(ti)係(xi)具(ju)有(you)高(gao)度(du)的(de)消(xiao)化(hua)能(neng)力(li),社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)和(he)抗(kang)議(yi)運(yun)動(dong)往(wang)往(wang)變(bian)成(cheng)政(zheng)治(zhi)進(jin)步(bu)的(de)動(dong)力(li)。政(zheng)治(zhi)體(ti)係(xi)沒(mei)有(you)消(xiao)化(hua)能(neng)力(li),社(she)會(hui)衝(chong)突(tu)和(he)抗(kang)議(yi)運(yun)動(dong)才(cai)可(ke)能(neng)導(dao)致(zhi)政(zheng)治(zhi)社(she)會(hui)不(bu)穩(wen)定(ding)。
美國著名社會學家科塞在《社會衝突的功能》一書中甚至認為,社會衝突可以起到一種安全閥的作用,即,起到發泄釋放的通道的作用。
社會衝突也並不一定會影響經濟發展,在20世紀五六十年代,法、意、日等國的大規模罷工層出不窮,恰恰是在這個時期,這些國家的經濟增長達到了曆史最高點。
利益衝突是最理性的
如ru果guo說shuo當dang今jin中zhong國guo社she會hui的de大da部bu分fen社she會hui衝chong突tu是shi利li益yi衝chong突tu,那na麼me,大da量liang的de利li益yi衝chong突tu的de存cun在zai,以yi至zhi有you的de發fa展zhan成cheng群qun體ti事shi件jian,會hui不bu會hui對dui社she會hui穩wen定ding產chan生sheng威wei脅xie呢ne?
在20世紀60年代和70niandai,oumeidaliangdeshehuiyundongxingqi。zaicizhiqian,shehuichongtubeikanzuoshijingjibianhuahegongyehuadechanwu,huisuijiaoyudefazhanheyigeyouchandezhongjianjiecengdechengchangerzhujianxiaoshi。danzaidangshideshehuiyundongzhong,quehuoyuezhedaliangshouguogaodengjiaoyudezhongchanjieji。shehuixuezhehezhengzhixuezhetongguoyanjiurenwei,zhexieyundonggengduodiyuanzirenminbuduanshenggaodeqiwang,renmensuoxiangyaodedongxiyutamenshijiyuqihuodededongxizhijiancunzaichayi,zheshichongtuchanshengdegenyuan。yuwangheyuqizhijiandehonggoubeichengwei“相對剝奪”。
在中國經濟騰飛的30年間,代表權力主體的政治精英、代dai表biao資zi本ben主zhu體ti的de經jing濟ji精jing英ying和he代dai表biao文wen化hua主zhu體ti的de知zhi識shi精jing英ying形xing成cheng合he謀mou,分fen享xiang社she會hui經jing濟ji發fa展zhan成cheng果guo,而er眾zhong多duo的de弱ruo勢shi群qun體ti卻que在zai第di二er輪lun改gai革ge中zhong成cheng為wei改gai革ge的de犧xi牲sheng者zhe。也ye許xu,從cong絕jue對dui數shu值zhi上shang看kan,這zhe些xie弱ruo勢shi群qun體ti的de生sheng活huo水shui平ping也ye在zai提ti高gao,雖sui然ran速su度du緩huan慢man,但dan是shi因yin為wei貧pin富fu差cha距ju在zai不bu斷duan擴kuo大da,這zhe一yi群qun體ti並bing不bu會hui因yin為wei生sheng活huo水shui平ping的de提ti高gao而er覺jiao得de幸xing福fu和he滿man足zu,而er是shi會hui在zai“精英聯盟”贏家通吃的對比下產生“相對剝奪感”。
在zai這zhe麼me多duo年nian經jing濟ji高gao速su發fa展zhan的de情qing況kuang下xia,出chu現xian民min工gong荒huang之zhi前qian,農nong民min工gong的de工gong資zi十shi幾ji年nian沒mei有you增zeng加jia。紡fang織zhi行xing業ye等deng一yi些xie傳chuan統tong行xing業ye的de工gong人ren的de待dai遇yu也ye十shi多duo年nian基ji本ben沒mei變bian。一yi些xie傳chuan統tong製zhi藥yao行xing業ye工gong人ren工gong資zi甚shen至zhi出chu現xian了le下xia滑hua。在zai企qi業ye內nei部bu,工gong資zi收shou入ru差cha距ju也ye越yue來lai越yue大da,一yi些xie國guo企qi老lao總zong年nian薪xin以yi千qian萬wan元yuan計ji。而er社she會hui再zai分fen配pei並bing沒mei有you彌mi補bu這zhe一yi差cha距ju。醫yi保bao本ben來lai是shi為wei廣guang大da民min眾zhong提ti供gong福fu利li的de,而er在zai一yi些xie地di方fang,醫yi保bao部bu門men越yue來lai越yue成cheng為wei權quan力li新xin貴gui,千qian方fang百bai計ji克ke扣kou百bai姓xing福fu利li,一yi些xie人ren的de應ying報bao款kuan項xiang無wu法fa報bao銷xiao,而er醫yi保bao資zi金jin卻que大da量liang節jie餘yu。早zao在zai2004nian,guojiadegonggongzhengcejiukaishizhuanxiang,danyinweichangqixingchengdeliyijituanheshehuiquanligejudengzuaihuoguanxing,suoyouweisuoxiaoshehuichajudenulizuizhongbingmeiyouzaiminzhongshenshangdedaowanquandetixian。
可(ke)以(yi)說(shuo),在(zai)第(di)二(er)輪(lun)改(gai)革(ge)的(de)博(bo)弈(yi)中(zhong),弱(ruo)勢(shi)群(qun)體(ti)喪(sang)失(shi)了(le)越(yue)來(lai)越(yue)多(duo)的(de)利(li)益(yi),但(dan)是(shi),隻(zhi)要(yao)沒(mei)有(you)超(chao)過(guo)他(ta)們(men)的(de)耐(nai)受(shou)極(ji)限(xian),便(bian)不(bu)會(hui)爆(bao)發(fa)大(da)規(gui)模(mo)群(qun)體(ti)事(shi)件(jian)。近(jin)年(nian),工(gong)人(ren)停(ting)工(gong)等(deng)事(shi)件(jian)也(ye)曾(zeng)出(chu)現(xian)過(guo),但(dan)隻(zhi)要(yao)資(zi)方(fang)做(zuo)小(xiao)小(xiao)的(de)讓(rang)步(bu),把(ba)他(ta)們(men)低(di)得(de)可(ke)憐(lian)的(de)工(gong)資(zi)提(ti)高(gao)合(he)理(li)的(de)幅(fu)度(du),他(ta)們(men)便(bian)很(hen)快(kuai)複(fu)工(gong)了(le)。而(er)包(bao)括(kuo)廣(guang)受(shou)關(guan)注(zhu)的(de)甕(weng)安(an)事(shi)件(jian)在(zai)內(nei)的(de)大(da)部(bu)分(fen)群(qun)體(ti)性(xing)事(shi)件(jian),如(ru)果(guo)觀(guan)察(cha)其(qi)發(fa)展(zhan)脈(mai)絡(luo),便(bian)可(ke)發(fa)現(xian)如(ru)果(guo)事(shi)件(jian)能(neng)夠(gou)早(zao)點(dian)得(de)到(dao)解(jie)決(jue),根(gen)本(ben)不(bu)會(hui)發(fa)展(zhan)到(dao)暴(bao)力(li)衝(chong)突(tu)的(de)程(cheng)度(du)。
有人這樣形容現階段的社會衝突:zhongguodeshehuichongtujinglileyouzhishijingyingzhudaodejinquxingzhengquan,daoyougongnongweizhutidefanyingxingweiquankangzhenghuodongdezhuanbian。qianzhedetedianshizaiminzhuhefazhideqizhixiazhonggoushehuijiazhihezhengzhitizhi;後者以在法定框架內爭取和維護基本權益為特征。這些轉變和特征都是由社會利益結構以及由此決定的統治秩序所決定的。
某mou種zhong程cheng度du上shang,社she會hui衝chong突tu的de階jie段duan和he中zhong國guo第di一yi輪lun改gai革ge和he第di二er輪lun改gai革ge的de階jie段duan是shi相xiang契qi合he的de。如ru果guo說shuo在zai第di一yi輪lun改gai革ge中zhong,知zhi識shi精jing英ying引yin發fa的de社she會hui衝chong突tu可ke能neng帶dai有you政zheng治zhi目mu的de,那na麼me從cong第di二er輪lun改gai革ge起qi,以yi工gong農nong為wei主zhu體ti的de弱ruo勢shi群qun體ti爆bao發fa的de社she會hui衝chong突tu事shi件jian,則ze更geng多duo屬shu於yu純chun粹cui的de利li益yi衝chong突tu,是shi“相對剝奪感”帶來的不滿,是為了維護自身一點可憐的利益的無奈之舉。
利li益yi衝chong突tu和he其qi它ta衝chong突tu最zui大da的de不bu同tong是shi,有you很hen大da的de討tao價jia還hai價jia空kong間jian,也ye正zheng因yin此ci,利li益yi衝chong突tu被bei稱cheng為wei最zui理li性xing的de衝chong突tu。這zhe一yi階jie段duan的de社she會hui衝chong突tu,隻zhi要yao處chu理li好hao其qi實shi政zheng治zhi風feng險xian很hen小xiao。
最大的危險
liyichongtuzhisuoyihuiyanbianchengpohuaixingjidashenzhizhengzhichongtudeyuanyin,shiyinweiruoshiquntiquefaliyisuqiuqudao,daozhibumanbuduanjiju,zhongyubaofa。zhejiuxuyaoyigezhengchangdeliyibiaodayujiejuejizhi。
3月26rikaitingshenlideguangxifaguanlichaoyangsiyukanshousuoan,zhisuoyinengfanan,shiyinweisixingfanhuangyuxinzaixingxingqian,turantichujianjuligongdeqingqiu,jiaodailichaoyangsiwangdezhenshijingguo。erliqiaomingzhisinengbeiboluanfanzheng,yuanzi“躲貓貓”的荒誕不經。這類案件的真相大白於天下太具偶然性。在強勢的權力機關麵前,弱勢群體的利益難以得到有力的保障。
4月1日(ri),解(jie)決(jue)執(zhi)法(fa)過(guo)程(cheng)中(zhong)當(dang)事(shi)人(ren)的(de)非(fei)正(zheng)常(chang)死(si)亡(wang),在(zai)全(quan)國(guo)公(gong)安(an)機(ji)關(guan)相(xiang)關(guan)會(hui)議(yi)上(shang)被(bei)列(lie)為(wei)公(gong)安(an)部(bu)今(jin)年(nian)反(fan)腐(fu)倡(chang)廉(lian)的(de)重(zhong)點(dian)。中(zhong)國(guo)需(xu)要(yao)的(de)是(shi)製(zhi)度(du)化(hua)的(de)東(dong)西(xi),能(neng)夠(gou)從(cong)製(zhi)度(du)上(shang)避(bi)免(mian)這(zhe)類(lei)案(an)件(jian)的(de)發(fa)生(sheng),給(gei)弱(ruo)勢(shi)群(qun)體(ti)正(zheng)當(dang)的(de)利(li)益(yi)訴(su)求(qiu)渠(qu)道(dao)。
由於存在不同的利益群體,不可能完全“消除”衝突和矛盾。但是,麵對不同群體和階層的衝突和矛盾,必須有一套市場經濟條件下利益均衡的機製來解決——公平解決。
眾zhong所suo周zhou知zhi,目mu前qian真zhen正zheng束shu縛fu市shi場chang經jing濟ji體ti製zhi改gai革ge的de是shi政zheng治zhi體ti製zhi。市shi場chang和he政zheng府fu本ben來lai是shi相xiang對dui應ying的de,而er在zai中zhong國guo,市shi場chang的de建jian立li最zui初chu由you政zheng府fu強qiang力li推tui進jin,在zai這zhe一yi過guo程cheng中zhong,權quan力li機ji關guan被bei誘you發fa出chu逐zhu利li的de本ben能neng,最zui終zhong導dao致zhi市shi場chang的de權quan力li化hua和he權quan力li的de市shi場chang化hua。很hen大da程cheng度du上shang,公gong共gong權quan力li成cheng為wei謀mou利li的de手shou段duan。權quan力li資zi本ben化hua使shi市shi場chang經jing濟ji畸ji變bian為wei“依附權力的經濟”。正因如此,千呼萬喚始出來的反壟斷法並沒有反行政壟斷。
許可證製度、審批製度、準入製度、政府定價、特(te)許(xu)經(jing)營(ying)等(deng)等(deng),正(zheng)是(shi)公(gong)權(quan)和(he)市(shi)場(chang)捆(kun)綁(bang)的(de)結(jie)果(guo)。在(zai)這(zhe)樣(yang)的(de)畸(ji)形(xing)市(shi)場(chang)經(jing)濟(ji)下(xia),利(li)益(yi)均(jun)衡(heng)不(bu)可(ke)能(neng)通(tong)過(guo)正(zheng)常(chang)博(bo)弈(yi)達(da)到(dao)。單(dan)純(chun)的(de)經(jing)濟(ji)高(gao)增(zeng)長(chang)無(wu)法(fa)帶(dai)來(lai)安(an)全(quan)感(gan)、人(ren)心(xin)穩(wen)定(ding)和(he)社(she)會(hui)穩(wen)定(ding),隻(zhi)有(you)公(gong)平(ping)的(de)增(zeng)長(chang)才(cai)會(hui)帶(dai)來(lai)社(she)會(hui)穩(wen)定(ding),不(bu)公(gong)平(ping)的(de)增(zeng)長(chang)則(ze)往(wang)往(wang)是(shi)社(she)會(hui)不(bu)穩(wen)定(ding)甚(shen)至(zhi)動(dong)蕩(dang)的(de)根(gen)源(yuan)。公(gong)權(quan)不(bu)公(gong),是(shi)最(zui)大(da)的(de)不(bu)公(gong)平(ping)。
對於大部分社會衝突,如果政策適當,會大大減少以至消滅危機因素;如果處理不好,則可能會引爆大的危機。上世紀30年(nian)代(dai)的(de)大(da)蕭(xiao)條(tiao),美(mei)國(guo)麵(mian)臨(lin)的(de)危(wei)機(ji)最(zui)嚴(yan)重(zhong),社(she)會(hui)矛(mao)盾(dun)非(fei)常(chang)尖(jian)銳(rui)和(he)突(tu)出(chu)。在(zai)衝(chong)突(tu)一(yi)觸(chu)即(ji)發(fa)之(zhi)際(ji),羅(luo)斯(si)福(fu)新(xin)政(zheng)的(de)推(tui)出(chu)使(shi)社(she)會(hui)歸(gui)於(yu)穩(wen)定(ding)。這(zhe)是(shi)政(zheng)府(fu)的(de)作(zuo)用(yong)。而(er)目(mu)前(qian)中(zhong)國(guo)很(hen)多(duo)社(she)會(hui)矛(mao)盾(dun)的(de)激(ji)化(hua)都(dou)和(he)權(quan)力(li)機(ji)關(guan)息(xi)息(xi)相(xiang)關(guan)。公(gong)權(quan)私(si)用(yong),執(zhi)法(fa)機(ji)關(guan)濫(lan)用(yong)暴(bao)力(li),個(ge)別(bie)地(di)方(fang)政(zheng)府(fu)行(xing)為(wei)的(de)黑(hei)社(she)會(hui)化(hua),政(zheng)府(fu)部(bu)門(men)不(bu)作(zuo)為(wei)等(deng)等(deng),都(dou)在(zai)不(bu)同(tong)程(cheng)度(du)上(shang)激(ji)化(hua)了(le)社(she)會(hui)矛(mao)盾(dun)。
zhongguoshehuijinridezhuduoshehuichongtu,bixutongguozhengzhitizhijishizhuanxingerdedaojiejuehekongzhi。guojiaruheshixianqichaoyuexingyugongzhengxing,shirenmendemuguangyueguoduiyishiwendingdeweihuyuzhuiqiuzhihou,jidaijiejuedeketi。
來源:南風窗