http://kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-26 17:54:34 來源:新浪
霧wu霾mai天tian氣qi持chi續xu肆si虐nue,清qing潔jie能neng源yuan卻que有you力li難nan出chu,誰shui之zhi過guo?價jia格ge補bu貼tie,是shi不bu是shi新xin能neng源yuan行xing業ye的de救jiu命ming稻dao草cao?良liang苦ku用yong心xin會hui否fou適shi得de其qi反fan?國guo企qi改gai革ge醞yun釀niang多duo時shi,實shi施shi方fang案an呼hu之zhi欲yu出chu,體ti製zhi弊bi病bing根gen源yuan何he在zai?《財經麵對麵》獨家對話國家能源委員會專家谘詢委員會主任、原國家能源局局長張國寶,把脈能源改革新局。
輸變電線路投資可逐步引入社會資本
三(san)中(zhong)全(quan)會(hui)拉(la)開(kai)新(xin)一(yi)輪(lun)改(gai)革(ge)大(da)幕(mu),關(guan)係(xi)社(she)會(hui)的(de)各(ge)個(ge)方(fang)麵(mian)。能(neng)源(yuan)作(zuo)為(wei)基(ji)礎(chu)性(xing)行(xing)業(ye),對(dui)經(jing)濟(ji)的(de)發(fa)展(zhan)影(ying)響(xiang)巨(ju)大(da),由(you)於(yu)涉(she)及(ji)領(ling)域(yu)較(jiao)多(duo),各(ge)種(zhong)利(li)益(yi)盤(pan)根(gen)錯(cuo)節(jie),推(tui)進(jin)改(gai)革(ge)應(ying)如(ru)何(he)著(zhe)手(shou)成(cheng)為(wei)各(ge)界(jie)熱(re)議(yi)的(de)話(hua)題(ti)。
新浪財經:前不久三中全會召開了,三中全會裏也提出來市場在資源配置中起決定性的作用,但是它前麵也有一個特別明確的指出來建設統一、開放、競爭、有序的市場體係是基礎。所以,我想問一下能源的市場符合這個要求嗎?
張國寶:fazhandaojintianzhegejieduanruguodankaoxiangguoqunayangdeyaosutouru,birukuodatouzizhexiedongxilaicijijingjizengchangkenenghuiyudaogengduodekunnan。suoyi,yonggaigedefangshilaijinyibudejifafazhandehongli,woxiangkenengshizhecigaigedeyixiangbijiaozhongyaodeneirong。suoyi,gexinggeyedoumianlingaigederenwu。
你剛才講到能源領域,其他領域,哪個行業說“我不需要改了”,woxiangmeiyouzheyangdexingye,nengyuanyeshizhexiexingyezhongdeyige,takendinghaiyouhenduobunengshiyingshengchanlifazhandedongxi,duizhexiedongxidangranxuyaojinxinggaige。biruguanyunengyuandedingjia,shuiziyuandedingjia,xianzaidedingjiamoshishibushijiufeichangdehelile?yaobuyaojinxinggaige?zaibirushuonengyuandezhunru,dajiayoushihouyehuijiangdaonengyuanmouxielingyuzhonghaishiyigududahuozheshiyijiaduda,yeyoudeshuozheshilongduan。xianzaiminyingqiyebaoyuanmenkangao,meiyoujinlai。biruyouqilingyuzhongnengbunengrangminyingqiyegengduodecanyu,zhexieneirongdoushizaixiayibugaigezhongzhidetantaodeketi。
新浪財經:另ling外wai一yi個ge問wen題ti是shi能neng源yuan改gai革ge,能neng源yuan價jia格ge的de改gai革ge這zhe可ke能neng不bu是shi能neng源yuan局ju要yao做zuo的de一yi項xiang工gong作zuo,但dan是shi能neng源yuan價jia格ge的de改gai革ge和he能neng源yuan局ju有you關guan的de工gong作zuo是shi要yao並bing行xing進jin行xing的de,比bi如ru哪na個ge價jia格ge放fang開kai了le,價jia格ge放fang開kai是shi不bu是shi也ye要yao同tong時shi在zai能neng源yuan市shi場chang統tong一yi開kai放fang競jing爭zheng有you序xu,這zhe兩liang個ge應ying該gai是shi同tong時shi進jin行xing的de?
張國寶:我覺得已經描述的非常清楚了,健康、有序、統一、開(kai)放(fang),這(zhe)幾(ji)條(tiao)講(jiang)的(de)非(fei)常(chang)清(qing)楚(chu)了(le),但(dan)價(jia)格(ge)在(zai)發(fa)改(gai)委(wei)內(nei)部(bu)也(ye)不(bu)是(shi)能(neng)源(yuan)局(ju)在(zai)管(guan),是(shi)在(zai)價(jia)格(ge)司(si)管(guan)。關(guan)於(yu)這(zhe)個(ge)問(wen)題(ti)從(cong)成(cheng)立(li)能(neng)源(yuan)局(ju)開(kai)始(shi),或(huo)者(zhe)議(yi)論(lun)要(yao)不(bu)要(yao)成(cheng)立(li)能(neng)源(yuan)部(bu)的(de)時(shi)候(hou)就(jiu)有(you)很(hen)多(duo)議(yi)論(lun),社(she)會(hui)上(shang)也(ye)有(you)很(hen)多(duo)幫(bang)著(zhe)能(neng)源(yuan)局(ju)說(shuo)話(hua)的(de),說(shuo)之(zhi)所(suo)以(yi)能(neng)源(yuan)要(yao)成(cheng)立(li)能(neng)源(yuan)部(bu)或(huo)者(zhe)要(yao)成(cheng)立(li)能(neng)源(yuan)局(ju)就(jiu)是(shi)因(yin)為(wei)能(neng)源(yuan)的(de)職(zhi)能(neng)太(tai)分(fen)散(san),分(fen)散(san)在(zai)各(ge)個(ge)部(bu)門(men)。比(bi)如(ru)能(neng)源(yuan)價(jia)格(ge)也(ye)不(bu)是(shi)你(ni)們(men)管(guan),能(neng)源(yuan)資(zi)源(yuan)不(bu)是(shi)你(ni)們(men)管(guan),都(dou)應(ying)該(gai)集(ji)中(zhong)到(dao)一(yi)個(ge)能(neng)源(yuan)部(bu),所(suo)以(yi),有(you)不(bu)少(shao)人(ren)主(zhu)張(zhang)成(cheng)立(li)能(neng)源(yuan)部(bu),但(dan)是(shi)後(hou)來(lai)能(neng)源(yuan)部(bu)也(ye)沒(mei)有(you)成(cheng)立(li),能(neng)源(yuan)局(ju)的(de)體(ti)製(zhi)規(gui)模(mo)也(ye)不(bu)是(shi)很(hen)大(da),一(yi)個(ge)小(xiao)的(de)能(neng)源(yuan)管(guan)理(li)機(ji)構(gou)。
danshinizaixidefenxiyixia,wojiaodezhelimianshiyouhenduowentide,baokuowodangdiyirennengyuanjuchang,haoduorenhaoxiangshitongqingwode,ya,nidejiagenidoubuguan,shijishangwozaixidelengjingxiangyixiang,zaixianzaizheyangdeqingkuangxia,rangwoguanjiagenengbunengguandehao,yinweinengyuanjiageruguorangnengyuanbumenlaiguan,najiaotongbumenshibushiyegaishuojiaotongjiageyinggaiwojiaotongbulaiguan,liangshijiageshibushiyinggainongyebulaiguan?zheyangyilaidehua,nagexingyebudetizijixingyeyaohe?tielujiushuowodeyunjiataidile,woyinggaizhang,nengyuanyeweiwonengyuanqiyedabaobuping,shibushinengyuanjiagetaidile,liangshiyehuishuoliangshijiagetaidile,kenengdouhuizaochengyigenagebumenweizijibumenshuohua,douyaoqiuzhang。buhuishuowozhegebumenjiagetaigao,nigeiwoyadidianerba,zhezhongyexuhuiyou,gujibushizhuliu,zhuliukenengdoushuowozhegejiageyinggaizhang。
在zai這zhe樣yang的de情qing況kuang下xia,我wo管guan這zhe個ge部bu門men我wo說shuo應ying該gai漲zhang我wo就jiu能neng確que定ding漲zhang?那na肯ken定ding不bu行xing,一yi定ding要yao有you一yi個ge比bi較jiao中zhong立li的de一yi個ge機ji構gou來lai說shuo你ni該gai不bu該gai漲zhang,要yao綜zong合he評ping分fen。
新浪財經:像我們前麵提到的門檻、價格什麼的,讓我們感覺整個能源改革千頭萬緒,到底我們先從哪一方麵動手呢?
張國寶:這裏麵肯定有一些大家比較能取得共識的,比如太陽能、風feng力li發fa電dian說shuo都dou要yao拿na到dao中zhong央yang來lai批pi,主zhu張zhang要yao批pi的de人ren也ye有you他ta的de道dao理li,說shuo中zhong央yang涉she及ji到dao要yao補bu助zhu,如ru果guo我wo不bu批pi的de話hua,我wo怎zen麼me給gei他ta補bu助zhu?但dan是shi大da多duo數shu人ren可ke能neng都dou會hui認ren為wei這zhe麼me小xiao的de東dong西xi,因yin為wei風feng電dian、taiyangnengyebushixianghedianzhannameda,erqiedouhenfensan,difangzijijiukeyijuecele,dounadaonizhongyanglaigansha?haiyourenhuishuoyinweiyouqifeng,suoyi,wojiuyaoxianzhipi,fanshiqifengduodedifangwojiubuzaipile,xiangzhexiewentiyinggaitongguoshichanglaijiejue,bushitongguoshenpilaijiejue,jinguanyehuiyoubutongyijian,danshiwoxiangxinduoshurenshiyougongshide,womenjiuxianbazhexieshenpigaidiao。zheyangdelizihaishiyouhenduode。
再(zai)比(bi)如(ru)爭(zheng)議(yi)比(bi)較(jiao)多(duo)的(de)電(dian)力(li)體(ti)製(zhi)改(gai)革(ge),這(zhe)當(dang)然(ran)是(shi)個(ge)敏(min)感(gan)問(wen)題(ti),有(you)的(de)說(shuo)應(ying)該(gai)廠(chang)網(wang)分(fen)開(kai),有(you)的(de)說(shuo)應(ying)該(gai)輸(shu)配(pei)分(fen)開(kai),廠(chang)網(wang)分(fen)開(kai)已(yi)經(jing)分(fen)了(le),輸(shu)配(pei)有(you)的(de)說(shuo)要(yao)進(jin)一(yi)步(bu)分(fen),可(ke)能(neng)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)就(jiu)不(bu)同(tong)意(yi)這(zhe)個(ge)說(shuo)法(fa),他(ta)可(ke)能(neng)有(you)一(yi)堆(dui)理(li)由(you)說(shuo)不(bu)應(ying)該(gai)分(fen)的(de),也(ye)許(xu)一(yi)時(shi)半(ban)會(hui)得(de)不(bu)到(dao)共(gong)識(shi)也(ye)有(you)可(ke)能(neng)。但(dan)是(shi)有(you)一(yi)條(tiao),我(wo)建(jian)議(yi),目(mu)前(qian)的(de)輸(shu)變(bian)電(dian)線(xian)路(lu)的(de)建(jian)設(she),基(ji)本(ben)上(shang)一(yi)家(jia)投(tou)資(zi),就(jiu)是(shi)國(guo)網(wang)的(de)投(tou)資(zi),國(guo)網(wang)或(huo)者(zhe)南(nan)網(wang),能(neng)不(bu)能(neng)允(yun)許(xu)社(she)會(hui)多(duo)種(zhong)資(zi)本(ben)進(jin)入(ru)?比(bi)如(ru)輸(shu)變(bian)電(dian)線(xian)路(lu)不(bu)要(yao)電(dian)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)一(yi)家(jia)來(lai)投(tou)資(zi),人(ren)家(jia)有(you)興(xing)趣(qu)的(de)地(di)方(fang)公(gong)司(si)或(huo)者(zhe)是(shi)電(dian)力(li)企(qi)業(ye),或(huo)者(zhe)是(shi)民(min)營(ying)資(zi)本(ben),或(huo)者(zhe)是(shi)有(you)些(xie)基(ji)金(jin)願(yuan)意(yi)來(lai)投(tou)這(zhe)個(ge)輸(shu)變(bian)線(xian),咱(zan)們(men)一(yi)塊(kuai)兒(er)投(tou)。我(wo)也(ye)跟(gen)國(guo)網(wang)公(gong)司(si)交(jiao)換(huan)過(guo)意(yi)見(jian),他(ta)們(men)這(zhe)樣(yang)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)上(shang)是(shi)會(hui)鬆(song)動(dong)的(de),可(ke)能(neng)能(neng)接(jie)受(shou)的(de),我(wo)們(men)就(jiu)可(ke)以(yi)從(cong)這(zhe)裏(li)先(xian)改(gai)起(qi)。
天然氣售價低於成本 管網獨立隱患多
石油管網、輸電網絡的拆分、獨(du)立(li)運(yun)營(ying)是(shi)民(min)間(jian)呼(hu)聲(sheng)較(jiao)高(gao)的(de)一(yi)種(zhong)方(fang)案(an),但(dan)是(shi)這(zhe)個(ge)領(ling)域(yu)的(de)改(gai)革(ge)國(guo)外(wai)並(bing)沒(mei)有(you)統(tong)一(yi)成(cheng)型(xing)的(de)方(fang)案(an)可(ke)以(yi)借(jie)鑒(jian),不(bu)同(tong)的(de)國(guo)家(jia)具(ju)有(you)不(bu)同(tong)的(de)模(mo)式(shi)。特(te)別(bie)是(shi)燃(ran)氣(qi)管(guan)道(dao),由(you)於(yu)目(mu)前(qian)上(shang)下(xia)遊(you)價(jia)格(ge)倒(dao)掛(gua),拆(chai)分(fen)之(zhi)後(hou)運(yun)營(ying)和(he)管(guan)理(li)存(cun)在(zai)著(zhe)諸(zhu)多(duo)隱(yin)患(huan)。
張國寶:muqianweizhizhezhongshengyinhaidoushilaiziyuminjian,dajiadeyizhongjianyi,danshinengbunengkexing,haiyaojinxingshenrudefenxi。yinweizaiguojishangyeshiduozhongxingshidouyoude,youdeshidulide,wogenbierenmeiguanxi,woguandaojiushiguandao,yeyouyouqideshangxiayouheguandaoyouyijiazaiguan,zaiqitaguojiademoshizhongyedouyouzheyangdelizi,biruzaieluosi,taguanwangshidulide,zhuanmenyouyigeeluosideguandaogongsi,Gazprom,是shi天tian然ran氣qi公gong司si,管guan道dao還hai有you一yi個ge,石shi油you有you一yi個ge管guan道dao公gong司si,是shi這zhe樣yang獨du立li的de,但dan是shi好hao像xiang天tian然ran氣qi管guan網wang我wo的de印yin象xiang中zhong俄e羅luo斯si也ye是shi上shang下xia遊you在zai一yi起qi的de,石shi油you是shi分fen開kai的de,但dan是shi也ye有you在zai一yi個ge,比bi如ru美mei國guo雪xue佛fo龍long公gong司si,它ta既ji有you油you田tian開kai發fa,也ye有you下xia遊you的de煉lian油you廠chang,中zhong間jian還hai有you管guan道dao,都dou是shi他ta一yi家jia公gong司si管guan,上shang遊you輸shu送song,下xia遊you煉lian油you,也ye有you一yi起qi管guan,是shi不bu是shi就jiu一yi定ding獨du立li可ke操cao作zuo或huo者zhe說shuo優you點dian就jiu大da,這zhe個ge我wo覺jiao得de現xian在zai還hai可ke以yi進jin一yi步bu的de探tan討tao。
中(zhong)石(shi)油(you)講(jiang)可(ke)能(neng)他(ta)就(jiu)說(shuo)不(bu)應(ying)該(gai)分(fen)開(kai),它(ta)有(you)沒(mei)有(you)它(ta)的(de)理(li)由(you)呢(ne)?它(ta)也(ye)會(hui)講(jiang)很(hen)多(duo)理(li)由(you),比(bi)如(ru)說(shuo)現(xian)在(zai)實(shi)際(ji)上(shang)天(tian)然(ran)氣(qi)我(wo)們(men)目(mu)前(qian)還(hai)是(shi)虧(kui)本(ben)的(de),因(yin)為(wei)老(lao)百(bai)姓(xing)總(zong)是(shi)不(bu)希(xi)望(wang)氣(qi)價(jia)太(tai)高(gao),進(jin)口(kou)天(tian)然(ran)氣(qi)又(you)比(bi)較(jiao)貴(gui),這(zhe)部(bu)分(fen)的(de)成(cheng)本(ben)衝(chong)抵(di)實(shi)際(ji)上(shang)上(shang)遊(you)補(bu)了(le)中(zhong)遊(you),我(wo)們(men)上(shang)遊(you)勘(kan)探(tan),這(zhe)幾(ji)年(nian)油(you)價(jia)比(bi)較(jiao)高(gao)是(shi)有(you)盈(ying)利(li)的(de),天(tian)然(ran)氣(qi)這(zhe)個(ge)板(ban)塊(kuai)本(ben)身(shen)可(ke)能(neng)是(shi)沒(mei)有(you)盈(ying)利(li)的(de)。這(zhe)個(ge)例(li)子(zi)老(lao)百(bai)姓(xing)當(dang)然(ran)希(xi)望(wang)價(jia)格(ge)越(yue)低(di)越(yue)好(hao)。
你說這個有些人可能不接受,現在美國的天然氣價格它是用英製熱值單位來計算的,一個BTU才四個美金,年初才2.2美金,現在漲了一點兒,才四美金。中國和日本進的LNG,BTU要到16—18美mei金jin,是shi美mei國guo的de四si倍bei還hai要yao多duo。可ke是shi我wo們men賣mai到dao老lao百bai姓xing手shou裏li的de價jia格ge,像xiang北bei京jing市shi可ke能neng也ye就jiu是shi兩liang塊kuai五wu左zuo右you一yi立li方fang米mi,所suo以yi,折zhe算suan過guo去qu肯ken定ding是shi虧kui的de,包bao括kuo管guan道dao氣qi過guo來lai,從cong土tu庫ku曼man,那na個ge時shi候hou我wo也ye是shi參can與yu談tan判pan的de,過guo來lai到dao邊bian境jing,它ta是shi按an照zhao一yi千qian立li方fang米mi多duo少shao錢qian算suan,一yi千qian立li方fang米mi是shi270美mei金jin,你ni還hai要yao從cong新xin疆jiang過guo來lai,還hai要yao再zai加jia上shang管guan輸shu費fei,還hai要yao經jing過guo城cheng市shi管guan網wang的de一yi些xie費fei用yong的de話hua,成cheng本ben到dao了le老lao百bai姓xing手shou裏li可ke能neng不bu隻zhi兩liang塊kuai五wu,但dan是shi國guo家jia沒mei有you漲zhang這zhe個ge錢qian,這zhe部bu分fen錢qian實shi際ji上shang是shi上shang遊you補bu了le下xia遊you,因yin為wei這zhe幾ji年nian油you價jia比bi較jiao好hao,它ta的de利li潤run比bi較jiao高gao。
如(ru)果(guo)都(dou)獨(du)立(li)出(chu)去(qu)以(yi)後(hou),它(ta)就(jiu)要(yao)自(zi)己(ji)獨(du)立(li)來(lai)經(jing)營(ying)了(le),這(zhe)個(ge)時(shi)候(hou)會(hui)不(bu)會(hui)產(chan)生(sheng)投(tou)入(ru)不(bu)足(zu),它(ta)沒(mei)有(you)足(zu)夠(gou)的(de)利(li)潤(run)來(lai)投(tou)這(zhe)個(ge)管(guan)網(wang),現(xian)在(zai)的(de)管(guan)網(wang)投(tou)是(shi)靠(kao)上(shang)遊(you)掙(zheng)來(lai)的(de)錢(qian)來(lai)投(tou)這(zhe)個(ge)東(dong)西(xi),會(hui)不(bu)會(hui)帶(dai)來(lai)這(zhe)種(zhong)弊(bi)端(duan)。所(suo)以(yi),像(xiang)這(zhe)一(yi)些(xie)問(wen)題(ti),不(bu)是(shi)靠(kao)張(zhang)三(san)認(ren)為(wei)這(zhe)樣(yang)或(huo)者(zhe)李(li)四(si)認(ren)為(wei)那(na)樣(yang),而(er)是(shi)要(yao)經(jing)過(guo)仔(zai)細(xi)的(de)可(ke)行(xing)性(xing)分(fen)析(xi),做(zuo)好(hao)改(gai)革(ge)的(de)設(she)計(ji)才(cai)行(xing)。
能源安全需要擴大能源領域對外合作
經濟強勁的增長,伴隨的就是能耗的直線飆升,不僅僅是天然氣,石油、煤炭僅今年的進口量也是直線飆升,據統計早在2011年nian,中zhong國guo總zong能neng耗hao就jiu超chao越yue了le美mei國guo居ju全quan球qiu首shou位wei。隨sui著zhe能neng源yuan對dui外wai依yi存cun度du的de加jia大da,拓tuo寬kuan能neng源yuan供gong應ying的de渠qu道dao,保bao證zheng穩wen定ding的de能neng源yuan供gong應ying,已yi經jing上shang升sheng到dao國guo家jia戰zhan略lve安an全quan的de層ceng麵mian。
新浪財經:還有石油、天然氣我國的對外依存度越來越高,到底我們自己的油氣生產供應將來可以依靠的有哪些?深海還是LNG,還是海外拿錢便宜的油氣?
張國寶:這(zhe)實(shi)際(ji)上(shang)是(shi)我(wo)們(men)能(neng)源(yuan)安(an)全(quan)中(zhong)的(de)一(yi)個(ge)大(da)問(wen)題(ti),因(yin)為(wei)大(da)家(jia)都(dou)已(yi)經(jing)很(hen)清(qing)楚(chu)了(le),中(zhong)國(guo)這(zhe)幾(ji)年(nian)對(dui)海(hai)外(wai)的(de)能(neng)源(yuan)依(yi)存(cun)度(du)越(yue)來(lai)越(yue)高(gao),實(shi)際(ji)上(shang)主(zhu)要(yao)是(shi)在(zai)油(you)上(shang),雖(sui)然(ran)煤(mei)炭(tan)現(xian)在(zai)也(ye)有(you)一(yi)些(xie)進(jin)口(kou),畢(bi)竟(jing)量(liang)還(hai)不(bu)是(shi)太(tai)大(da),油(you)的(de)話(hua)逐(zhu)年(nian)在(zai)增(zeng)加(jia)。近(jin)年(nian)來(lai)講(jiang)很(hen)可(ke)能(neng)產(chan)兩(liang)億(yi)噸(dun),進(jin)口(kou)三(san)億(yi)噸(dun),大(da)概(gai)是(shi)這(zhe)麼(me)個(ge)狀(zhuang)況(kuang)。對(dui)外(wai)依(yi)存(cun)度(du)從(cong)過(guo)去(qu)百(bai)分(fen)之(zhi)五(wu)十(shi)幾(ji)增(zeng)加(jia)到(dao)百(bai)分(fen)之(zhi)六(liu)十(shi),這(zhe)兩(liang)億(yi)噸(dun)而(er)且(qie)是(shi)鉚(mao)足(zu)了(le)勁(jin)兒(er)的(de),已(yi)經(jing)把(ba)我(wo)們(men)目(mu)前(qian)所(suo)能(neng)夠(gou)有(you)的(de)潛(qian)力(li)都(dou)已(yi)經(jing)使(shi)了(le)大(da)勁(jin)兒(er)了(le),不(bu)會(hui)有(you)太(tai)大(da)的(de)增(zeng)加(jia)。但(dan)是(shi),我(wo)汽(qi)油(you),柴(chai)油(you)的(de)增(zeng)加(jia)是(shi)剛(gang)性(xing)的(de),拿(na)汽(qi)車(che)這(zhe)一(yi)項(xiang)來(lai)講(jiang),去(qu)年(nian)是(shi)1920萬輛,今年就得要突破兩千萬輛。兩千萬輛的汽車,我們過去算過賬,一輛車大平均一年要1.45噸(dun)的(de)油(you),你(ni)增(zeng)加(jia)兩(liang)千(qian)萬(wan)輛(liang)汽(qi)車(che),光(guang)汽(qi)車(che)燒(shao)掉(diao)的(de)油(you)一(yi)年(nian)就(jiu)得(de)增(zeng)加(jia)三(san)千(qian)萬(wan)噸(dun),再(zai)考(kao)慮(lv)到(dao)煉(lian)油(you)過(guo)程(cheng)中(zhong)可(ke)能(neng)還(hai)有(you)一(yi)些(xie)損(sun)耗(hao),所(suo)以(yi),一(yi)年(nian)起(qi)碼(ma)得(de)增(zeng)加(jia)三(san)四(si)千(qian)萬(wan)噸(dun)才(cai)能(neng)彌(mi)補(bu)汽(qi)車(che)增(zeng)長(chang)的(de)需(xu)要(yao)。
新浪財經:那怎麼辦呢?我們需求這麼旺盛,但是生產?
張國寶:yigeshiwomenyaoyikaoliangzhongshichang,liangzhongziyuan,zaiyouqilingyuzhongyaoduiwaikaifang,zhediankendingshihenxuyaode,qishiqitadebiwomenfazhankuaideyixiezibenzhuyiguojia,tamenyedoushiliyongguojiziyuan。meiguoliyonghaiwaiziyuan,yeliyongdehenduo,ouzhoujiumeiyouliyongma?ribenmeiyouliyongma?tamendouliyonghaiwaiziyuan,womenxianzaiyeliyongyixiehaiwaiziyuan,erqietiaojianxukedeshihouwomenhaiyinggaikuodazainengyuanlingyudeduiwaihezuo,zhezhongqianlibunengshuojueduimeiyou,baokuowomenjinkoudetianranqi,baokuocongeluosijinkoudeyuanyou,jinhoujinyibukuodazhexiehezuodekenengxinghaishiyoude。suoyi,yigeshikuodaguojihezuo。diergezaiguoneichulewomenliyongkexuejishujinyibuzengchan,biruwomenyoutiandehuishoulvbijiaodi,jinhoukenengyongshenmeeryanghuatanquyou,quqi,yicicaiyou,ercicaiyou,sancicaiyou,jinyibutigaocaishoulv,biruyouqikaicaijinyibuxiangshenhai,haishangyoutianqukaicai,haiyoucongguoquchangguideyouqidaofeichangguide,suoweizhimiyou,zhimiqi,xiangyeyanqi,meicengqi,xiangzhezhongfeichangguidezhexiekaizhanfangshiyaonengyuanzhegeqianliyehaishiyoude。zhongguomeihenduo,danshimeicengqidebilihenxiao,genmeiguobimeifabi。suoyi,zhefangmianwomenkenengtizhijizhihuozheshikexuejishugenrenjiabihaiyouchaju,danshiqianlihaishifeichangdade。
特高壓能不能上?沒人拍板
與巨大的能源缺口形成鮮明反差的是,每年有大量的風力發電,因為電網建設不到位,不能輸送出去,白白浪費。據統計, 2012年全國“棄風”電量約為200億千瓦時,損失超過100yiyuan。dianwangjianshebufahuanman,zhuyaoshixiangguanfangmianduitegaoyadianwangfazhandeyijianbunengtongyi,yizhiyushisanwuyijingguoban,ershisanwuqijiandedianwangjiansheguihuazhijinrengweinengchutai。
新浪財經:我國的能源供應我們有辦法從以化學能源為主轉到以可再生能源為主嗎?
張國寶:這方麵的潛力很大,就是報紙上你們媒體報道也很多,拿風力發電來講這幾年漲的都很快,去年就1004億千瓦時了,都超過了核電。
新浪財經:比核電高很多。
張國寶:今(jin)年(nian)可(ke)能(neng)還(hai)會(hui)高(gao),漲(zhang)的(de)很(hen)快(kuai),而(er)且(qie)價(jia)格(ge)上(shang)也(ye)已(yi)經(jing)有(you)很(hen)大(da)的(de)競(jing)爭(zheng)力(li)了(le),我(wo)在(zai)有(you)些(xie)場(chang)合(he)下(xia)也(ye)講(jiang)過(guo),希(xi)望(wang)你(ni)們(men)媒(mei)體(ti)多(duo)給(gei)宣(xuan)傳(chuan),過(guo)去(qu)太(tai)陽(yang)能(neng)和(he)風(feng)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)是(shi)比(bi)較(jiao)貴(gui),煤(mei)一(yi)度(du)電(dian)大(da)概(gai)也(ye)就(jiu)是(shi)0.38元左右,但是現在這幾年煤價漲了,加上其他因素,用煤來發電的價格也不低的,我查了一下,廣東的標杆電價已經到了0.5元/度了,其他的地方恐怕0.4元的比較普遍了。
nixianzaifenglifadian,yiqianwozairendeshihouwolaoshiqiangtiaojingzhengzhaobiao,jingzhengzhaobiaojiushiwumaodaoliumao,xianzaifensidafengqu,doushizaiwumaodaoliumaozhijian,danshiruguobahuanjingyinsuzaikaolvjinqu,haiyouyigeqifengdewenti,xianzaidajiajiangqifengqidehenduo,xiangneimenggu,20%左(zuo)右(you)的(de)棄(qi)風(feng),如(ru)果(guo)你(ni)讓(rang)他(ta)少(shao)棄(qi)風(feng)他(ta)電(dian)價(jia)還(hai)能(neng)降(jiang),現(xian)在(zai)他(ta)們(men)也(ye)在(zai)醞(yun)釀(niang)風(feng)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)的(de)電(dian)價(jia)要(yao)不(bu)要(yao)調(tiao)一(yi)調(tiao)?因(yin)為(wei)現(xian)在(zai)風(feng)力(li)發(fa)電(dian)利(li)潤(run)還(hai)是(shi)可(ke)以(yi)的(de),是(shi)不(bu)是(shi)要(yao)調(tiao)一(yi)調(tiao),當(dang)然(ran)搞(gao)風(feng)電(dian)的(de)人(ren)不(bu)願(yuan)意(yi),但(dan)是(shi)我(wo)說(shuo)如(ru)果(guo)你(ni)答(da)應(ying)他(ta)一(yi)條(tiao)你(ni)不(bu)要(yao)讓(rang)人(ren)家(jia)棄(qi)風(feng),他(ta)發(fa)的(de)那(na)些(xie)電(dian)你(ni)都(dou)能(neng)收(shou)購(gou)回(hui)來(lai)再(zai)降(jiang)點(dian)兒(er)還(hai)是(shi)有(you)可(ke)能(neng)的(de),價(jia)格(ge)也(ye)已(yi)經(jing)有(you)很(hen)大(da)的(de)競(jing)爭(zheng)力(li)。
xianzaiweishenmehuiqifeng?yigeshirenshiwenti,haiyoushiwomendianwangjianshezhihou,dianwangxianzaishisanwujihuadouguoquyiduobaner,wunianyijingguoqusannianle,dianwangguihuahaimeichulai,weishenmemeichulai?zhenglun。zhangsanshuoyinggaishangtegaoya,lisishuonibunengshang,yemeirengeitamenpaiban,yiyouzhenglun,nimenyanjiuquba,yanjiuquba,buduandeyanjiu,yanjiulesannianduole,guihuahaimeiyouchulai,neimengguyijianyehenda,tadefengdianhenduo,ruguonibatasongchulaitajiubuhuiyouqifeng,nizhemeyidianerdian,zaiquanguopingtanyejiu2%,haizenmehuixiaohuabule?danshinidoufangzaineimenggu,tasongbuchulaijiuyouwentile,weishenmesongbuchulai?zhengfuyoumeiyouzeren?weishenmerangzhezhongzhenglunwuxiuzhidezhengxiaqu?
新浪財經:其實你是阻礙了發展的步伐。
張國寶:對dui,你ni說shuo不bu能neng建jian特te高gao壓ya,你ni也ye有you人ren出chu來lai說shuo句ju話hua也ye行xing,你ni說shuo應ying該gai建jian也ye行xing,都dou不bu說shuo話hua,或huo者zhe說shuo我wo不bu管guan也ye不bu行xing。所suo以yi,我wo覺jiao得de風feng力li發fa電dian出chu現xian棄qi風feng政zheng府fu有you責ze任ren。
新浪財經:光伏也沒有可能像幾年前的風電一樣?
張國寶:現在太陽能之所以推廣不開就是價格上競爭還是有問題,我們隻搞過一次招標,就是敦煌這個,敦煌這個招標1.15元/du,nabifengdianguiyibei,bimeidianyeguihenduo。suoyi,zaizheyangdejiagexiazhinengkaobutie。butiezhegewanyierwobushibuzhuzhangbutie,wojiaodebutieyetixianzhengfuduixinnengyuandezhichi,danbutiewojuguoyigebuyidinghenqiadangdelizi,genchixiyaoyiyang,nengzhibing,danshiyoushihouyoufuzuoyong,kangyaoxingjiulaile,dajiadouxiwangzhengfugeibuzhu,yidanbubuzhuwojiumeiyoudonglijiangdichengben。
新浪財經:補貼上癮了。
張國寶:ruguoguimogaodeyuedabudejiudeyueduo,gaodaoyidingguimozhengfucaizhengbubuqile,beibudongle,nabujiuyingxiangnifazhanle?suoyi,genbenhaiyaokaokexuejishu,kaojingzheng,kaojiangdichengben,shihuashinengyuanyouyidingdekebixingqujingzhengqu。guojiadebutiekenengyonglaigengduodegeitamenchuangzaoyixiegonggongtiaojian,birukeyan,xinjishudefazhan,huozheshiyixiejichusheshidejianshe,zaizhexiefangmian,haiyoubaokuoshuishoufangmiandeyouhui,shidajianengpubianxiangshoudao。yidankaobutie,nifadeyueduobudejiuyueduo,zaowanyouyitiantabubuqile。
國企掌門人任期短缺乏長期規劃
新浪財經:lingwaiyouyigewenti,jishudekaifashangwoyizhijiaodekenengguoyouqiyedetizhijizhikenengbutainenggouyunxutamenzaiyixietebieqianyandejishushangquhuadaliqi,huadazijinkaifa,yinweikenengzhengfubutaiyunxutamenfancuo,zhegewentiyoushenmebanfajiejue?
張國寶:將jiang來lai在zai國guo有you企qi業ye的de管guan理li和he體ti製zhi上shang是shi不bu是shi也ye需xu要yao進jin一yi步bu的de推tui進jin改gai革ge,我wo覺jiao得de確que實shi有you值zhi得de探tan討tao的de地di方fang,比bi如ru前qian一yi段duan時shi間jian網wang上shang就jiu有you這zhe樣yang的de文wen章zhang,就jiu分fen析xi國guo際ji上shang的de百bai年nian老lao店dian,真zhen正zheng能neng夠gou當dang百bai年nian老lao店dian的de很hen少shao,我wo開kai玩wan笑xiao說shuo除chu了le臭chou豆dou腐fu王wang致zhi和he可ke以yi,其qi他ta的de真zhen還hai是shi很hen難nan。你ni像xiang世shi界jie上shang著zhu名ming的de過guo去qu曾zeng經jing紅hong極ji一yi時shi的de摩mo托tuo羅luo拉la、柯達膠卷、諾基亞,也就是各領風騷十來年就不行了,他們就分析了。說能夠百年老店的有什麼特點,其中CEO換的並不是太頻繁,因為一百年當中最少的隻換了七任CEO,多(duo)的(de)可(ke)能(neng)十(shi)任(ren),但(dan)是(shi)我(wo)們(men)現(xian)在(zai)可(ke)能(neng)三(san)五(wu)年(nian)就(jiu)換(huan)一(yi)任(ren),這(zhe)樣(yang)老(lao)換(huan)的(de)話(hua)他(ta)的(de)責(ze)任(ren)心(xin)就(jiu)沒(mei)有(you),我(wo)就(jiu)把(ba)我(wo)這(zhe)一(yi)點(dian)兒(er)事(shi)兒(er)管(guan)好(hao)就(jiu)行(xing)了(le),別(bie)犯(fan)錯(cuo),到(dao)那(na)時(shi)候(hou)由(you)不(bu)得(de)我(wo),也(ye)可(ke)能(neng)你(ni)一(yi)紙(zhi)令(ling)下(xia)來(lai)我(wo)就(jiu)走(zou)了(le),包(bao)括(kuo)幹(gan)部(bu)管(guan)理(li)體(ti)製(zhi),包(bao)括(kuo)國(guo)有(you)體(ti)製(zhi),確(que)實(shi)有(you)值(zhi)得(de)探(tan)討(tao)的(de)地(di)方(fang),將(jiang)來(lai)怎(zen)麼(me)管(guan)比(bi)較(jiao)好(hao)。
但dan是shi你ni說shuo的de,剛gang才cai講jiang的de問wen題ti,除chu了le剛gang才cai我wo講jiang的de人ren以yi外wai,其qi他ta方fang麵mian比bi如ru你ni剛gang才cai講jiang到dao國guo有you企qi業ye投tou入ru,它ta舍she不bu得de花hua大da投tou入ru,民min營ying企qi業ye就jiu敢gan嗎ma?民min營ying企qi業ye它ta也ye不bu敢gan,他ta如ru果guo我wo這zhe個ge投tou入ru目mu前qian看kan不bu見jian,要yao二er十shi年nian以yi後hou才cai能neng有you回hui報bao,它ta也ye不bu會hui來lai投tou,民min營ying企qi業ye可ke能neng也ye熬ao不bu了le那na麼me長chang時shi間jian,也ye有you這zhe個ge問wen題ti在zai裏li麵mian。所suo以yi,國guo有you企qi業ye的de管guan理li體ti製zhi我wo覺jiao得de確que實shi也ye是shi值zhi得de探tan討tao的de,當dang時shi成cheng立li國guo資zi管guan理li體ti製zhi的de時shi候hou,當dang時shi的de國guo務wu院yuan領ling導dao同tong誌zhi也ye講jiang過guo,我wo們men政zheng府fu按an管guan理li機ji構gou管guan國guo有you企qi業ye的de不bu要yao既ji當dang老lao板ban,又you當dang婆po婆po,但dan實shi際ji上shang可ke能neng在zai某mou些xie方fang麵mian做zuo起qi來lai就jiu容rong易yi又you當dang婆po婆po,又you當dang老lao板ban,怎zen麼me讓rang國guo有you企qi業ye能neng夠gou更geng有you活huo力li,這zhe些xie問wen題ti我wo覺jiao得de在zai下xia一yi步bu改gai革ge中zhong也ye是shi值zhi得de探tan討tao的de。