http://kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-26 14:37:13 來源:北京商報
工(gong)信(xin)部(bu)部(bu)長(chang)苗(miao)圩(wei)昨(zuo)日(ri)在(zai)中(zhong)國(guo)發(fa)展(zhan)高(gao)層(ceng)論(lun)壇(tan)上(shang)表(biao)示(shi),產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)本(ben)身(shen)不(bu)是(shi)壞(huai)事(shi)。隻(zhi)有(you)適(shi)度(du)過(guo)剩(sheng),才(cai)能(neng)有(you)企(qi)業(ye)競(jing)爭(zheng)。如(ru)果(guo)都(dou)是(shi)短(duan)缺(que),企(qi)業(ye)就(jiu)沒(mei)有(you)動(dong)力(li)。如(ru)果(guo)一(yi)個(ge)行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)能(neng)嚴(yan)重(zhong)過(guo)剩(sheng),比(bi)如(ru)行(xing)業(ye)產(chan)能(neng)利(li)用(yong)率(lv)低(di)於(yu)75%或者70%,就值得警惕,因為這會引發企業間惡性競爭,甚至引發係統性風險。
deque,zaishichangjingjixia,channengguoshengshibukebimiande,shichangjingjidechangtaijiushichannengguosheng。qiadaohaochudegongqiupinghengjihushimeikenengdeshiqing,fouzewomenjixugaojihuajingjijiushile。zaishichangzhong,jiagejiushiyigexinhao,jiushinazhi“看不見的手”,招呼所有牟利待動的企業去競爭、去qu供gong給gei,從cong供gong不bu應ying求qiu發fa展zhan為wei供gong過guo於yu求qiu,導dao致zhi產chan能neng過guo剩sheng。產chan能neng過guo剩sheng之zhi下xia,企qi業ye要yao麼me在zai壓ya力li下xia出chu局ju,要yao麼me在zai動dong力li下xia在zai服fu務wu和he創chuang新xin上shang破po局ju。很hen多duo時shi候hou,充chong分fen競jing爭zheng與yu產chan能neng過guo剩sheng是shi糾jiu纏chan在zai一yi起qi的de,想xiang得de到dao充chong分fen競jing爭zheng的de好hao處chu,就jiu要yao忍ren受shou一yi定ding程cheng度du的de產chan能neng過guo剩sheng,最zui後hou交jiao由you市shi場chang去qu裁cai定ding。
產能過剩可以劃分為兩種:一(yi)種(zhong)是(shi)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng),一(yi)種(zhong)是(shi)中(zhong)國(guo)式(shi)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)。中(zhong)國(guo)式(shi)的(de)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng),並(bing)非(fei)市(shi)場(chang)經(jing)濟(ji)水(shui)到(dao)渠(qu)成(cheng)的(de)自(zi)然(ran)產(chan)物(wu),而(er)是(shi)政(zheng)府(fu)驅(qu)動(dong)投(tou)資(zi)模(mo)式(shi)的(de)伴(ban)生(sheng)品(pin)。國(guo)內(nei)很(hen)多(duo)產(chan)業(ye),產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)從(cong)一(yi)開(kai)始(shi)就(jiu)是(shi)政(zheng)府(fu)過(guo)多(duo)地(di)介(jie)入(ru)到(dao)微(wei)觀(guan)經(jing)濟(ji)活(huo)動(dong)之(zhi)中(zhong),從(cong)而(er)扭(niu)曲(qu)了(le)價(jia)格(ge)信(xin)號(hao),也(ye)扭(niu)曲(qu)了(le)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)供(gong)給(gei)曲(qu)線(xian)和(he)成(cheng)本(ben)結(jie)構(gou)。如(ru)此(ci)既(ji)放(fang)大(da)了(le)企(qi)業(ye)超(chao)過(guo)自(zi)身(shen)能(neng)力(li)的(de)擴(kuo)張(zhang),也(ye)放(fang)大(da)了(le)企(qi)業(ye)在(zai)市(shi)場(chang)莫(mo)測(ce)時(shi)的(de)風(feng)險(xian)。一(yi)方(fang)麵(mian)地(di)方(fang)政(zheng)府(fu)給(gei)錢(qian)給(gei)地(di)給(gei)政(zheng)策(ce),各(ge)種(zhong)明(ming)補(bu)暗(an)補(bu)使(shi)勁(jin)補(bu),讓(rang)企(qi)業(ye)做(zuo)大(da)做(zuo)強(qiang)之(zhi)心(xin)瞬(shun)間(jian)膨(peng)脹(zhang);lingyifangmianzhengfudeguodujieru,rangqiyedetouzizhehezhaiquanrendouguofenxiangxinzhengfudedoudi。shangdezhibaijiushiyigejiaokeshubandelizi,yongzhiguankuiguangfuchanyededaqidaluozishiyikuidaodi。
zaishichangjingjibijiaochengshudejingjitizhong,channengtongchangdoubuhuiyanzhongguosheng,yinweiyanzhongguoshengtongchangyiweizhedaliangqiyeyaobeiyoushenglietaichushichang,congerjianshaogonggei。danzaiwoguo,youshiyigeliwai。difangzhengfuchuyubendiGDP、財稅和就業的考慮,堅決抗拒市場力量,就不讓這些企業倒閉和出局,於是產能過剩就逐漸累積,最後發展成為一個中國經濟的痼疾。
國家對於產能過剩的調控一直就沒停過,但始終不見成效。因為其調控多以行政手段為主,諸如限製市場準入、嚴格項目審批、先進產能等量置換落後產能,這些所謂的重拳出擊在地方政府的虛與委蛇之下,往往都打在了棉花上。
解鈴還須係鈴人,中國式產能過剩的出路還是在政府身上。政府要管住自己閑不住的手,別動輒就投資驅動,否則鋼鐵、水泥、電dian解jie鋁lv等deng這zhe些xie行xing業ye的de產chan能neng過guo剩sheng隻zhi會hui一yi直zhi過guo剩sheng下xia去qu,日ri趨qu嚴yan重zhong。同tong時shi,政zheng府fu也ye別bie自zi我wo感gan覺jiao太tai好hao,一yi眼yan就jiu斷duan定ding天tian下xia產chan業ye發fa展zhan之zhi勢shi,要yao引yin領ling產chan業ye發fa展zhan,結jie果guo一yi擁yong而er上shang,一yi哄hong而er散san,光guang伏fu就jiu是shi個ge例li子zi。蘋ping果guo不bu是shi引yin領ling出chu來lai的de,支zhi付fu寶bao、微(wei)信(xin)也(ye)不(bu)是(shi)被(bei)規(gui)劃(hua)出(chu)來(lai)的(de)。以(yi)上(shang)所(suo)述(shu),其(qi)實(shi)都(dou)在(zai)界(jie)定(ding)政(zheng)府(fu)與(yu)市(shi)場(chang)關(guan)係(xi)的(de)範(fan)疇(chou)之(zhi)內(nei)。政(zheng)府(fu)有(you)更(geng)重(zhong)要(yao)的(de)工(gong)作(zuo),那(na)就(jiu)是(shi)致(zhi)力(li)於(yu)市(shi)場(chang)環(huan)境(jing)的(de)完(wan)善(shan),不(bu)僅(jin)包(bao)括(kuo)減(jian)少(shao)企(qi)業(ye)的(de)審(shen)批(pi)成(cheng)本(ben),也(ye)包(bao)括(kuo)讓(rang)扭(niu)曲(qu)的(de)價(jia)格(ge)信(xin)號(hao)恢(hui)複(fu)到(dao)市(shi)場(chang)正(zheng)常(chang)水(shui)平(ping),讓(rang)環(huan)境(jing)成(cheng)本(ben)顯(xian)性(xing)化(hua)。隻(zhi)有(you)在(zai)市(shi)場(chang)的(de)內(nei)生(sheng)驅(qu)動(dong)之(zhi)下(xia),兼(jian)並(bing)重(zhong)組(zu)也(ye)好(hao),大(da)浪(lang)淘(tao)沙(sha)也(ye)罷(ba),中(zhong)國(guo)式(shi)產(chan)能(neng)過(guo)剩(sheng)問(wen)題(ti)才(cai)可(ke)以(yi)被(bei)消(xiao)化(hua)掉(diao)。道(dao)理(li)其(qi)實(shi)很(hen)清(qing)楚(chu),就(jiu)看(kan)政(zheng)府(fu)自(zi)身(shen)的(de)決(jue)心(xin)了(le)。