http://kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-29 06:59:24 來源:經濟觀察報
持續20多天的大雪讓南中國蒙受了巨大損失。一些城市斷水斷電,很多企業被迫停產,大量旅客滯留車站……民政部稱,截至1月末,中國因此次雪災損失超過了326億元。現在,災難仍在持續,最終的損失或許還會更大。
在(zai)春(chun)節(jie)前(qian)夕(xi)發(fa)難(nan)的(de)大(da)雪(xue)有(you)很(hen)多(duo)值(zhi)得(de)我(wo)們(men)總(zong)結(jie)的(de)地(di)方(fang)。不(bu)過(guo),客(ke)觀(guan)而(er)論(lun),不(bu)應(ying)該(gai)僅(jin)僅(jin)把(ba)災(zai)難(nan)歸(gui)因(yin)於(yu)大(da)雪(xue)阻(zu)斷(duan)了(le)交(jiao)通(tong),影(ying)響(xiang)了(le)電(dian)煤(mei)運(yun)輸(shu),並(bing)最(zui)終(zhong)引(yin)起(qi)了(le)連(lian)鎖(suo)反(fan)應(ying),導(dao)致(zhi)了(le)一(yi)場(chang)影(ying)響(xiang)了(le)近(jin)億(yi)中(zhong)國(guo)人(ren)的(de)災(zai)難(nan)。實(shi)際(ji)上(shang),讓(rang)我(wo)們(men)付(fu)出(chu)代(dai)價(jia)的(de)絕(jue)不(bu)僅(jin)僅(jin)是(shi)暴(bao)雪(xue)和(he)冰(bing)雨(yu)。
meicuo,daxuequeshiyingxiangledianmeigongying,womenyudaodeshiwushiniannaizhibainiannanjiandexuezai。danshi,dianhuangzhengzhaozaozaidaxuejianglinqianjiuyijingtuxian,yixiedianliqiyededianmeicunliangjijuxiajiang,yixiemeitanqiyetingchanle,meitantunjizaijingxiaoshangshouzhong。zhezhongqingxing,zhengshiguoqujiniandianliqiyehemeitanqiyejiugedefanban。
“市場煤”和“計劃電”的(de)矛(mao)盾(dun)早(zao)已(yi)有(you)之(zhi)。國(guo)家(jia)發(fa)改(gai)委(wei)曾(zeng)經(jing)屢(lv)次(ci)出(chu)麵(mian)調(tiao)停(ting),最(zui)終(zhong)以(yi)讓(rang)煤(mei)炭(tan)企(qi)業(ye)和(he)電(dian)力(li)企(qi)業(ye)直(zhi)接(jie)銜(xian)接(jie)的(de)方(fang)式(shi),希(xi)望(wang)能(neng)夠(gou)置(zhi)身(shen)事(shi)外(wai),而(er)讓(rang)企(qi)業(ye)自(zi)行(xing)決(jue)定(ding)價(jia)格(ge)。不(bu)過(guo),從(cong)今(jin)年(nian)的(de)情(qing)況(kuang)來(lai)看(kan),問(wen)題(ti)並(bing)沒(mei)有(you)真(zhen)正(zheng)解(jie)決(jue),協(xie)調(tiao)也(ye)隻(zhi)是(shi)將(jiang)矛(mao)盾(dun)暫(zan)時(shi)擱(ge)置(zhi)。
這兩個行業的宿怨無法靠非市場手段化解。隻要“市場煤”和“計劃電”shizhongcunzai,zhezhongmaodunjiubukebimian,shichangjiagechuxiandafubodongdeshihou,dianliqiyehemeitanqiyezhijiandeliyichongtuyehuigengjiajilie。jinnianzhisuoyichuxiandianmeijinzhang,shouxianshiyinweiquanqiumeitanjiagedouzaishangzhang,erdianmeijiagequerengzaizhengfuguanzhizhong。qiyeyoushenmedongliduochanmei,duogongmei?
偏偏又遇到了前所未遇的雪災。當這種衝突與持續的大雪疊加時,災難就進一步被放大了。
我wo們men擔dan心xin的de是shi,如ru果guo我wo們men仍reng然ran是shi以yi行xing政zheng方fang式shi化hua解jie這zhe種zhong衝chong突tu,則ze即ji使shi大da雪xue消xiao散san,未wei來lai危wei機ji仍reng可ke能neng以yi其qi他ta方fang式shi重zhong演yan。想xiang象xiang一yi下xia,大da麵mian積ji的de油you荒huang幸xing虧kui是shi發fa生sheng在zai去qu年nian10月,如果油荒也出現在惡劣天氣裏,結果恐怕難以想象。
道理是相同的。與電價一樣,成品油價格也是政府管製的;yudianmeijiageyiyang,yuanyoushichangyeshifangkaide。zhezhongshangxiayouzhijiandechongtu,yezhengshishichangyujihuazhijianmaodundexianxian。guoqujinianzhong,youhuangyijinglvcichuxian,shuiyounengquebao,youhuangbuhuizaicichuxian?
災(zai)難(nan)因(yin)大(da)雪(xue)而(er)肆(si)虐(nue),但(dan)大(da)雪(xue)未(wei)必(bi)是(shi)災(zai)難(nan)的(de)始(shi)作(zuo)俑(yong)者(zhe)。我(wo)們(men)承(cheng)認(ren),即(ji)使(shi)不(bu)存(cun)在(zai)電(dian)煤(mei)運(yun)輸(shu)問(wen)題(ti),大(da)雪(xue)也(ye)必(bi)然(ran)造(zao)成(cheng)嚴(yan)重(zhong)的(de)後(hou)果(guo),但(dan)是(shi)顯(xian)然(ran),如(ru)果(guo)不(bu)是(shi)在(zai)飛(fei)漲(zhang)的(de)價(jia)格(ge)麵(mian)前(qian),煤(mei)炭(tan)企(qi)業(ye)心(xin)裏(li)有(you)自(zi)己(ji)的(de)盤(pan)算(suan),如(ru)果(guo)不(bu)是(shi)缺(que)煤(mei),後(hou)果(guo)也(ye)許(xu)不(bu)會(hui)如(ru)此(ci)慘(can)痛(tong)。在(zai)很(hen)多(duo)方(fang)麵(mian),百(bai)姓(xing)生(sheng)活(huo)受(shou)到(dao)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang),也(ye)未(wei)必(bi)這(zhe)麼(me)大(da)。
在zai這zhe樣yang的de時shi候hou,很hen多duo人ren會hui把ba矛mao頭tou指zhi向xiang企qi業ye,認ren為wei災zai難nan來lai臨lin時shi,企qi業ye應ying該gai承cheng擔dan起qi社she會hui責ze任ren。確que實shi,在zai此ci危wei難nan之zhi時shi,企qi業ye確que實shi應ying該gai共gong體ti時shi艱jian,甚shen至zhi短duan期qi內nei放fang棄qi企qi業ye的de利li益yi,中zhong國guo企qi業ye史shi上shang也ye從cong來lai不bu乏fa這zhe樣yang的de企qi業ye。然ran而er,災zai難nan過guo後hou,我wo們men還hai是shi要yao問wen一yi問wen:企業要求根據市場供需關係來決定煤炭價格錯了嗎?不是我們早就明確,能源價格應該交給市場來決定嗎?
理li順shun資zi源yuan產chan品pin價jia格ge和he能neng源yuan價jia格ge,決jue策ce部bu門men一yi直zhi將jiang其qi視shi為wei改gai革ge目mu標biao之zhi一yi。但dan是shi過guo去qu幾ji年nian中zhong,我wo們men卻que一yi直zhi沒mei能neng走zou出chu關guan鍵jian的de一yi步bu,沒mei有you讓rang市shi場chang在zai價jia格ge確que定ding中zhong起qi決jue定ding性xing作zuo用yong。決jue策ce部bu門men總zong有you這zhe樣yang那na樣yang的de擔dan憂you,比bi如ru推tui高gao通tong貨huo膨peng脹zhang水shui平ping,比bi如ru百bai姓xing生sheng活huo成cheng本ben的de可ke能neng提ti高gao。這zhe些xie擔dan憂you讓rang我wo們men一yi再zai推tui遲chi了le改gai革ge進jin程cheng。
客ke觀guan地di說shuo,這zhe些xie擔dan憂you都dou是shi有you道dao理li的de。然ran而er,價jia格ge管guan製zhi必bi然ran會hui導dao致zhi企qi業ye經jing營ying行xing為wei的de扭niu曲qu。在zai過guo去qu的de油you荒huang中zhong,在zai屢lv次ci的de電dian荒huang中zhong,這zhe種zhong扭niu曲qu已yi經jing被bei一yi再zai證zheng明ming。看kan看kan我wo們men已yi經jing為wei此ci付fu出chu的de代dai價jia吧ba。
去年末,央行在其貨幣政策執行報告中這樣評述資源產品價格改革:兩liang害hai相xiang權quan取qu其qi輕qing。拖tuo延yan越yue久jiu,付fu出chu的de代dai價jia就jiu會hui越yue大da,當dang下xia一yi次ci危wei機ji來lai臨lin時shi,我wo們men會hui更geng加jia無wu法fa承cheng受shou。如ru果guo真zhen的de要yao從cong雪xue災zai中zhong總zong結jie什shen麼me,這zhe是shi不bu能neng回hui避bi的de一yi條tiao。