http://kadhoai.com.cn 2026-04-29 06:59:25 來源:金融時報
剛剛富裕起來的中國人,剛剛經曆了一個不平凡的戊子年春節。
戊子年春節的不平凡,首先來自於發生在中國南方大部省份的雪災。雪災發生之初,並沒有顯現出將來成災的跡象。大雪、凍dong雨yu隻zhi是shi在zai靜jing靜jing地di下xia,終zhong於yu累lei積ji成cheng了le大da麵mian積ji的de災zai害hai。這zhe場chang災zai害hai,影ying響xiang幾ji乎hu覆fu蓋gai了le全quan部bu的de南nan中zhong國guo。雪xue災zai首shou先xian影ying響xiang到dao了le交jiao通tong運yun輸shu。高gao速su公gong路lu封feng閉bi了le,電dian氣qi化hua鐵tie路lu不bu通tong了le。沒mei有you了le運yun輸shu能neng力li的de支zhi撐cheng,電dian力li發fa電dian廠chang的de燃ran煤mei告gao急ji,不bu少shao發fa電dian廠chang被bei迫po停ting機ji;大(da)雪(xue)和(he)凍(dong)雨(yu)還(hai)破(po)壞(huai)了(le)電(dian)力(li)輸(shu)變(bian)電(dian)路(lu),致(zhi)使(shi)災(zai)區(qu)大(da)部(bu)分(fen)地(di)區(qu)有(you)電(dian)力(li)供(gong)應(ying)出(chu)現(xian)了(le)問(wen)題(ti)。雪(xue)災(zai)還(hai)嚴(yan)重(zhong)影(ying)響(xiang)到(dao)了(le)農(nong)業(ye)生(sheng)產(chan),造(zao)成(cheng)了(le)減(jian)產(chan)甚(shen)至(zhi)絕(jue)產(chan)。
戊子年春節,還是我國實行長假製度改革後的第一個春節。由於取消了“五一”長(chang)假(jia),不(bu)少(shao)人(ren)把(ba)自(zi)己(ji)的(de)旅(lv)行(xing)計(ji)劃(hua)提(ti)前(qian)到(dao)了(le)春(chun)節(jie)。這(zhe)些(xie)提(ti)前(qian)旅(lv)行(xing)的(de)人(ren),擁(yong)向(xiang)了(le)各(ge)種(zhong)交(jiao)通(tong)工(gong)具(ju),而(er)由(you)於(yu)雪(xue)災(zai)的(de)影(ying)響(xiang),有(you)不(bu)少(shao)人(ren)竟(jing)然(ran)滯(zhi)留(liu)在(zai)了(le)路(lu)上(shang),旅(lv)行(xing)者(zhe)竟(jing)然(ran)變(bian)成(cheng)了(le)等(deng)待(dai)救(jiu)助(zhu)的(de)災(zai)民(min)。
wuzinianchunjie,dangranhaiyaomianduinagechuantongdetiaozhan,najiushimeinianyidudechunyun。duiyuzhongguoshehuigegefangmianlaishuo,chunyunbenlaijiushiyigexiangdangdadeyali,eryouyuxuezaideyingxiang,zheyiyalizhouranjianbeijijufangda。guangzhouhuochezhanzuigaofengdeshihou,zhiliulvkejingduoda50萬人,還有相當多的旅客,滯留在了沿線甚至滯留在了路上。
災難在考驗著中國人的應對能力。黨和國家領導人親臨一線,指揮抗災救災工作;各相關部門和地方政府積極響應中央號召,在交通、電力等各個方麵,采取應對災害的有力措施;社(she)會(hui)各(ge)個(ge)方(fang)麵(mian)也(ye)積(ji)極(ji)行(xing)動(dong)起(qi)來(lai),投(tou)入(ru)了(le)抗(kang)災(zai)救(jiu)災(zai)之(zhi)中(zhong)。隨(sui)著(zhe)天(tian)氣(qi)的(de)好(hao)轉(zhuan)和(he)各(ge)項(xiang)措(cuo)施(shi)效(xiao)果(guo)的(de)顯(xian)現(xian),目(mu)前(qian)抗(kang)擊(ji)雪(xue)災(zai)的(de)戰(zhan)役(yi)已(yi)取(qu)得(de)了(le)初(chu)步(bu)的(de)勝(sheng)利(li),已(yi)轉(zhuan)入(ru)災(zai)後(hou)重(zhong)建(jian)階(jie)段(duan)。
此次雪災所造成的損失是巨大的。民政部的統計表明,雪災已造成1111億元直接的經濟損失,因災死亡107人,失蹤8人。全國假日辦的統計表明,今年春節黃金周接待旅客人數下降了5.2%,旅遊收入下降了6.2%。雖然從長期來看,這次災害對於我國經濟不至於造成不利的影響,但是,透過此次雪災,仍有一些問題值得我們深思。
首先是災害應對機製的建立與健全問題。中國是一個幅原遼闊的大國,地質條件複雜,氣候南北東西差別大、變bian化hua多duo。在zai這zhe樣yang一yi個ge國guo家jia裏li,每mei年nian發fa生sheng一yi些xie自zi然ran災zai害hai,是shi再zai平ping常chang不bu過guo的de事shi情qing。近jin年nian來lai,我wo國guo經jing濟ji快kuai速su發fa展zhan,社she會hui財cai富fu不bu斷duan增zeng加jia,這zhe樣yang的de情qing況kuang下xia,自zi然ran災zai害hai就jiu有you可ke能neng造zao成cheng更geng多duo的de損sun失shi。因yin此ci,建jian立li健jian全quan相xiang應ying的de自zi然ran災zai害hai應ying對dui機ji製zhi,有you效xiao減jian少shao自zi然ran災zai害hai所suo造zao成cheng的de損sun失shi,就jiu是shi一yi個ge十shi分fen必bi要yao的de事shi情qing。反fan觀guan此ci次ci雪xue災zai,交jiao通tong運yun輸shu成cheng為wei了le災zai害hai侵qin害hai的de主zhu要yao對dui象xiang,主zhu要yao的de救jiu災zai物wu資zi難nan以yi運yun達da到dao災zai害hai發fa生sheng地di,成cheng了le損sun失shi擴kuo大da的de主zhu要yao原yuan因yin。有you的de地di方fang政zheng府fu官guan員yuan感gan歎tan,“洪水來了,我可以調動千軍萬馬來抗洪,但是,雪災破壞了交通運輸能力,真是有力使不上。”其(qi)實(shi),還(hai)是(shi)有(you)辦(ban)法(fa)的(de)。比(bi)如(ru)說(shuo),在(zai)易(yi)受(shou)災(zai)害(hai)的(de)地(di)區(qu)儲(chu)備(bei)相(xiang)應(ying)的(de)救(jiu)災(zai)物(wu)資(zi),在(zai)電(dian)氣(qi)化(hua)鐵(tie)路(lu)將(jiang)要(yao)遭(zao)受(shou)侵(qin)害(hai)的(de)時(shi)候(hou),及(ji)時(shi)調(tiao)度(du)內(nei)燃(ran)機(ji)車(che)等(deng)等(deng),都(dou)能(neng)夠(gou)解(jie)決(jue)雪(xue)災(zai)帶(dai)來(lai)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)。現(xian)在(zai)來(lai)看(kan),我(wo)們(men)的(de)災(zai)害(hai)應(ying)急(ji)機(ji)製(zhi)還(hai)非(fei)常(chang)薄(bo)弱(ruo),對(dui)災(zai)害(hai)的(de)反(fan)應(ying)深(shen)度(du)與(yu)廣(guang)度(du)均(jun)存(cun)在(zai)著(zhe)一(yi)定(ding)的(de)問(wen)題(ti)。
qicishishejibiaozhunguodi,bunenggoudiyuzaihaideqinshi。cicixuezai,zaochenglejingguangtielunanduandianligongyingquanbuzhongduan。erzhongduandeyuanyin,jiushidianlixianlutietabukanbingxuedezhongya。qishi,leisidexuezai,zailishishangzengjingfashengguo,tigaoshejibiaozhun,suiranhuizengjiayishidejingjizhichu,queshiyingduicileizaihaidezuiweijingjidebanfa。
第三,此次雪災也暴露出了我國經濟運行在自然災害麵前極為脆弱的一麵。此次雪災造成了1000多億元的直接經濟損失,但是,保險公司所支付的保險賠款才80duoyiyuan,zheshuomingwoguojingjibaoxiandeguangduyushendujuncunzaizheyanzhongdebuzu。dianmeiyunshuchengweilecicikangjixuezaidezhongtouxi,erzaozaixuezaifashengzhiqian,yinweidianmeijiageshangzhangerdianjiabunengshangtiao,yixiefadianqiyeyuanbendedianmeichubeijiubuzu。xuezaizaochengdianmeiyunshukunnanzhihou,yixiefadianqiyeyinweiquemeiertingzhileshengchan。erduiyuzhexietingchandeqiyelaishuo,tingchanbingbuyidingshihuaishi,duofayidudianjiuduoyifenkuisun;多duo停ting產chan一yi天tian就jiu多duo減jian少shao一yi天tian的de損sun失shi。局ju部bu利li益yi與yu整zheng體ti利li益yi的de尖jian銳rui對dui立li,就jiu這zhe樣yang通tong過guo雪xue災zai凸tu顯xian在zai了le大da家jia麵mian前qian。如ru此ci脆cui弱ruo的de運yun行xing狀zhuang態tai,所suo蘊yun含han的de風feng險xian,值zhi得de警jing惕ti。
第四,集體出遊,集體返鄉及集體外出務工,仍是需要認真麵對的問題。此二類活動,都會導致人員流動的驟然增加、驟zhou然ran減jian少shao,使shi得de社she會hui服fu務wu設she施shi周zhou期qi性xing地di處chu在zai過guo度du利li用yong與yu過guo度du閑xian置zhi的de狀zhuang態tai。這zhe樣yang的de情qing況kuang,不bu利li於yu經jing濟ji的de平ping穩wen發fa展zhan,不bu利li於yu建jian立li節jie約yue社she會hui。解jie決jue這zhe類lei“老大難”問題,還是需要從體製上入手。
雖然有雪災,我們仍然過了一個祥和、xiqingdewuzinianchunjie。laizishangwubudezuixinxiaoxishuo,xuezaikenenghuidaozhinongzuowudejianchan,yingxiangnongchanpindeshichanggongying。zheduiyuyinweigongyingbuzuerdaozhiwoguoCPIbuduanshangzhangdejumianlaishuo,wuyiyuxueshangjiashuang。zaihaidaigeilewomentongku,tongdingsitong,xiqujiaoxun,jijicaiquyingduicuoshi,jianlihewanshanxiangyingdejizhi,liyingchengweizaihouzhongjiandezhongyaogongzuo。